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The Current Rally Is Coming To An End

By Josh Hayes on April 23, 2012

I decided to post this as an instablog on Seeking Alpha’s site since they do not accept TA pieces without some fundamental proof. The Current Rally Is Coming To An End

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Big Wave Trading Portfolio Update And Top Current Holdings

By Josh Hayes on April 7, 2012

The Big Wave Trading market model went through a serious of changes this week turning from a full BUY signal to a cautious BUY signal to a NEUTRAL signal by Thursday. This NEUTRAL signal means that there is no statistical edge one way or the other as measured by all of our internal indicators. While [...]

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Big Wave Trading Portfolio Update And Top Current Holdings

By Josh Hayes on March 24, 2012

The Big Wave Trading Portfolio’s Market Model remains under a BUY signal. However, during the week, evidence started to mount that turned the model from leaning BUY bullish to BUY neutral. This means that less capital is being deployed in new long positions and the requirements for actually becoming a new long position in the [...]

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Big Wave Trading Portfolio Update And Top Current Holdings

By Josh Hayes on March 17, 2012

“The whole secret to winning and losing in the stock market is to lose the least amount possible when you’re not right.” — William J. O’Neil “It is when the unimaginable occurs that the systematic trader remains calm, presciently knowing when to buy, sell, or adjust their exposure.” — Mark Abraham, Quantitative Capital Management, L.P. [...]

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Big Wave Trading Portfolio Update And Top Current Holdings

By Josh Hayes on March 10, 2012

“The elements of good trading are: 1, cutting losses. 2, cutting losses. And 3, cutting losses. If you can follow these three rules, you may have a chance.” “Dramatic and emotional trading experiences tend to be negative. Pride is a great banana peel, as are hope, fear, and greed.” –Ed Seykota The Big Wave Trading [...]

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Big Wave Trading Portfolio Update And Top Current Holdings

By Josh Hayes on March 3, 2012

The Big Wave Trading market model switched from a BUY signal to a NEUTRAL signal following Wednesday’s stock market session. The switch from the BUY signal which was triggered on 1/5 to a NEUTRAL signal on 2/29 was caused by a few key factors this past week. 1. New longs have not moved higher immediately [...]

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Big Wave Trading Portfolio Update And Top Current Holdings

By Josh Hayes on February 25, 2012

The Big Wave Trading margin and retirement accounts remain fully invested. There have been two distribution days in the Nasdaq in the past week but the selling has been orderly. While we remain cautious on new positions with the market in a non-stop uptrend, we continue to ride the trend higher. We do not know [...]

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September 2010 to February 2011 Trading Statistics

September 2010 to February 2011 Trading Statistics

By Josh Hayes on February 20, 2012

In his Silver Longs commentary of February 18, Josh states: “…during trending markets, we will be wrong 3-4 times and right 6-7 times (at worst 50/50) so the gains really take care of the losses.” Here’s an analysis of his trades during the uptrend of September 2010 through February 2011, showing a gain/loss ratio of [...]

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Big Wave Trading Portfolio Update And Top Current Holdings

By Josh Hayes on February 18, 2012

The Big Wave Trading Market Model remains under a full BUY signal. This buy signal was signaled on 1/5/2012 and has not had a change since. The distribution day had zero effect on the model and thus being fully invested on the long side continues to be the mode of operation. Big Wave Trading will [...]

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Big Wave Trading Portfolio Update And Top Current Holdings

By Josh Hayes on February 11, 2012

Big Wave Trading Margin and IRA accounts remain nearly fully invested (85%-95%) as our Market Model remains under a full BUY signal. That signal was triggered on 1/5/12. Big Wave Trading is currently watching the current pullback to see if it will result in a short-term top or a normal pullback that will lead to [...]

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