Josh Hayes

One New Short Position And No New Long Positions For Wednesday’s Stock Market Session

One New Short Position And No New Long Positions For Wednesday’s Stock Market Session

Just got back from a boat trip with the girlfriend. Maui really is unbelievably beautiful from the ocean. This should be my last late post for a while. Thank you everyone for allowing me to spend some early day time with my girlfriend before she went back to work for another week. Anyways, today was [...]

One New Long ETF Position And Two New Short Positions For Tuesday’s Stock Market Session

One New Long ETF Position And Two New Short Positions For Tuesday’s Stock Market Session

I was out teaching 4 people that work with Jill surfing lessons today. My apologies for the late post. Thanks to FONR I am back to trading scared. Wonderful. If it isn’t High Frequency Trading, the Fed, or Europe, it is something else. Today, it was the pre-market session which I f*cking hate more than [...]

The Current Rally Is Coming To An End

I decided to post this as an instablog on Seeking Alpha’s site since they do not accept TA pieces without some fundamental proof. The Current Rally Is Coming To An End

Big Wave Trading Portfolio Update And Top Current Holdings

“Profits always take care of themselves but losses never do. ” The speculator has to insure himself against considerable losses by taking the first small loss. In so doing, he keeps his account in order so that at some future time, when he has a constructive idea, he will be in a position to go [...]

Four New Short Positions And Two New Inverse ETF Long Positions For Monday’s Stock Market Session

Four New Short Positions And Two New Inverse ETF Long Positions For Monday’s Stock Market Session

Today was indeed confirmation of the SELL signal, in the Nasdaq. However, overall, it was not enough for me to say “let’s push all-in here!” We still need to see a day where the whole market sells off on convincing volume before I go 100% into any one inverse ETF or go short 10-20% of [...]

Model Returns To SELL Signal (It didn’t want to leave it in the first place but had to); Two New Inverse ETF Long Positions And Three New Short Positions For Friday’s Stock Market Session

Model Returns To SELL Signal (It didn’t want to leave it in the first place but had to); Two New Inverse ETF Long Positions And Three New Short Positions For Friday’s Stock Market Session

It was yet another distribution day for the Nasdaq and with it closing below the 50 day moving average that now puts us back into a SELL signal. This QE/Fed manipulated market has really f*cked up the accuracy of these signals. But like I told you following the last signal that led to the NEUTRAL [...]

Two New Short Positions And No New Long Positions For Thursday’s Stock Market Session

Two New Short Positions And No New Long Positions For Thursday’s Stock Market Session

Jill returns to Maui today and I need to pick her up at the airport in a little bit. We are going to spend the day with each other so I will only have a light update when I do return. This market is on its last legs, unless the QE machine comes rushing back [...]

Model Does Not Want To But Switches Back To NEUTRAL; One New Long Position And Three New Short Positions For Wednesday’s Stock Market Session

Model Does Not Want To But Switches Back To NEUTRAL; One New Long Position And Three New Short Positions For Wednesday’s Stock Market Session

OK so while we have to go to NEUTRAL by default, thanks to our cut loss/fail safe methodology, it does not mean that we are still not under an overall SELL situation. So, for now, we are in NEUTRAL. However the model in no way shape or form wants to turn higher outside of AAPL. [...]

Market Model Switches Back To SELL; Two New Inverse ETF Long Positions And No New Short Positions For Tuesday’s Stock Market Session

Market Model Switches Back To SELL; Two New Inverse ETF Long Positions And No New Short Positions For Tuesday’s Stock Market Session

The market model is back into a SELL mode but as we have learned post-October 2011 it is dangerous to go all-in on the short side here based on this signal. I will be moving much slower than normal only investing up to 20% of the IRA in TYP and 20% of the margin account [...]

Model Switches Back To SELL Mode

No surprises there. That is exactly what we expected would happen today. Good to see some normalcy returning even if it is in spades. GOOG followed through on the late stage base failure, AAPL followed PCLN rolling over at super extended levels, CANSLIM stocks continue to weaken, all of our shorts are working (SUSQ is [...]

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